Replication Files for ""Revolutionary Ideals and International Aggression"
Foreign Policy Analysis
Matthew Timmerman 
mt5082a@american.edu

Included here are the files necessary to replicate all the results in the manuscript and online appendix. Results were produced using Stata 14.2 and Excel. Additional Stata package(s) needed: Clarify. The do-file titled "revo_agression.do" includes step-by-step Stata commands to replicate results. 

 The following files are included in this replication dataset:

1. revo_aggression_main.dta

This is the main dataset. Each observation is a leader-year (837 total). This dataset is used for:

-Table 1
-Table 2
-Figure 1
-A-4 (appendix)
-A-5 (appendix) 

To create this dataset, I started with the Why Leaders Fight monadic replication dataset (Horowitz and Stam 2015). From this dataset, I pulled data for the 76 revolutionary leaders identified in "Measuring Revolution" (Colgan 2012). I then merged the resulting dataset with the replication data for "Revolution, Personalist Dictatorships, and International Conflict" (Colgan and Weeks 2015) to identify the initiation of militarized interstate disputes (MIDs) for each leader-year (as well as data for much of the relevant control variables). The Colgan and Weeks (2015) replication data covers the timespan 1946 to 2000. I restrict my analysis to this same period of time in constructing the main dataset. 

Additional control variable data was drawn from the Correlates of War Direct Contiguity (v. 3.2) dataset.  

2. revo_aggression_survival.dta

This dataset is used to carry out the Kaplan-Meier survival estimates. Each observation is a leader (76 total). This dataset is used for:

-Figure 2
-Figure 3
-A-2 (appendix)

The analysis for Figure 2 focuses on time to the leader's first case of MID initiation. The time to this event is captured in the column "time1." The analysis for Figure 3 focuses on the time to the leader's ouster from office or the end of the dataset (year 2000), whichever comes first. The time to this event is captured in the column "time2."   

3. revo_aggression.do

This do file includes the Stata commands necesary to replicate the article's results.

4. revo_aggression_log 

This log file displays the replicable Stata results.

5. revo_aggression_coding

This Excel file includes the final coding results (across all three coders) for each of the 76 revolutionary leaders (external vs. internal). Sources consulted  and explanations for each coding designation (internal or external) are provided in the appendix. The final coding designation for each of the 76 cases is determined by the majority coding result (i.e., two or more coders agree). Coding was completed in the fall of 2019. More details on the coding process are provided in the article appendix. 



 